Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.037244 0.040233 0.043371 0.046916 0.050815 0.054980 0.059771
2025-03-30 0.032178 0.036355 0.040983 0.046510 0.052958 0.060273 0.069245
2025-04-06 0.028446 0.033217 0.038716 0.045567 0.053928 0.063871 0.076699
2025-04-13 0.026403 0.031680 0.037969 0.046084 0.056376 0.069126 0.086322
2025-04-20 0.024552 0.030132 0.036970 0.046060 0.057974 0.073263 0.094705
2025-04-27 0.023292 0.029171 0.036554 0.046641 0.060265 0.078331 0.104611
2025-05-04 0.021889 0.027895 0.035602 0.046381 0.061333 0.081742 0.112425
2025-05-11 0.020706 0.026808 0.034794 0.046208 0.062433 0.085190 0.120483
2025-05-18 0.019625 0.025776 0.033971 0.045921 0.063297 0.088294 0.128215
2025-05-25 0.018722 0.024924 0.033326 0.045811 0.064364 0.091710 0.136640
2025-06-01 0.017723 0.023876 0.032339 0.045126 0.064501 0.093693 0.142918
2025-06-08 0.016754 0.022817 0.031270 0.044241 0.064250 0.095022 0.148184
2025-06-15 0.015983 0.022008 0.030526 0.043807 0.064678 0.097464 0.155567
2025-06-22 0.015275 0.021256 0.029824 0.043388 0.065088 0.099887 0.163116
2025-06-29 0.014497 0.020363 0.028866 0.042510 0.064692 0.100933 0.168297
2025-07-06 0.014135 0.020066 0.028780 0.042983 0.066506 0.105780 0.180748
2025-07-13 0.013672 0.019594 0.028401 0.042960 0.067481 0.109240 0.190926
2025-07-20 0.013375 0.019360 0.028373 0.043494 0.069417 0.114499 0.205027
2025-07-27 0.012916 0.018855 0.027895 0.043256 0.069995 0.117355 0.214665
2025-08-03 0.012504 0.018404 0.027481 0.043096 0.070692 0.120458 0.225079
2025-08-10 0.012094 0.017939 0.027022 0.042832 0.071177 0.123186 0.234964
2025-08-17 0.011742 0.017552 0.026671 0.042731 0.071943 0.126489 0.246382
2025-08-24 0.011301 0.017006 0.026035 0.042101 0.071691 0.127790 0.253555